FuturesIntel

    Industrial Production Index

    Monthly index of U.S. real output from manufacturing, mining, and electric/gas utilities (2017 = 100)

    INDPRO

    The Industrial Production Index (INDPRO) tracks real output across factories, mines, and utilities, making it one of the cleanest monthly reads on hard economic activity. It is especially useful for identifying cyclical turns in Growth & Activity because it reacts quickly to demand shifts, inventory cycles, and manufacturing momentum.

    Historical Industrial Production Chart

    Nov 16Dec 17Jan 19Feb 20Mar 21Apr 22May 23Jun 24Jul 25Sep 26808896110
    INDPRO
    Recession

    History of Industrial Production Measurement

    What INDPRO Measures

    INDPRO captures real output in three production-heavy sectors: manufacturing, mining, and utilities. It is a volume index, not a nominal dollar figure, and is seasonally adjusted to reduce recurring monthly patterns.

    Methodology Timeline

    • 1919 onward: The Federal Reserve began tracking industrial output during the early modern business-cycle period, creating one of the longest high-frequency activity series in U.S. macro analysis.
    • Benchmark updates: The index base year is periodically reset (currently 2017 = 100) to keep interpretation intuitive and aligned with structural shifts in industrial composition.
    • Annual revisions: Historical values are revised as source data quality improves and as benchmark inputs are refreshed, making the series robust but not immutable in real time.

    Why Traders Watch It

    Industrial production often turns before broader lagging macro indicators. Persistent acceleration can support cyclicals and commodities, while broad slowdowns can confirm risk-off conditions and growth compression.

    Current Reading

    103.95
    As of Sep 2026
    Period Average100.47
    Period Range84.56 - 104.10
    Data Points119

    Interpreting INDPRO

    Rising trend - Expansionary industrial cycle
    Flat trend - Late-cycle / mixed demand
    Falling trend - Manufacturing slowdown risk

    FISES Context

    Industrial production is a clean real-activity gauge in the Growth & Activity family. Its direction helps confirm whether macro momentum is broadening or stalling underneath headline GDP data.

    Release Schedule

    Industrial Production is released monthly by the Federal Reserve Board, typically around the middle of the following month.

    • Frequency: Monthly
    • Coverage: Manufacturing, Mining, Utilities
    • Adjustments: Seasonal + annual benchmark revisions