FuturesIntel

    Capacity Utilization

    Monthly percent of U.S. industrial capacity in use across manufacturing, mining, and utilities

    TCU

    Capacity Utilization shows how intensively the industrial economy is operating. Higher readings typically indicate stronger demand pressure and tighter production slack, while lower readings often align with excess capacity, softer growth, and weaker pricing power.

    Historical Capacity Utilization Chart

    Nov 16Dec 17Jan 19Feb 20Mar 21Apr 22May 23Jun 24Jul 25Sep 2661%67%73%84%
    Capacity Utilization
    Recession

    History of Capacity Utilization Measurement

    What TCU Measures

    TCU measures the share of potential industrial output currently being used. It aggregates utilization across manufacturing, mining, and utilities and reflects the economy's production tightness in a single monthly percentage.

    Methodology Timeline

    • Federal Reserve G.17 production framework: Capacity utilization is derived from the Industrial Production index and benchmarked estimates of sustainable maximum output.
    • Benchmark and revision cycle: The Fed periodically revises both output and capacity estimates as new survey, census, and industry data become available.
    • Sector weighting: Manufacturing dominates the aggregate, but mining and utilities can materially affect turns during energy or commodity shocks.

    Why Traders Watch It

    Elevated utilization can coincide with stronger growth and rising inflation sensitivity, while declining utilization often signals softening demand and expanding slack ahead of broader macro downgrades.

    Current Reading

    76.85%
    As of Sep 2026
    Period Average76.66%
    Period Range64.08% - 79.93%
    Data Points119

    Interpreting Capacity Utilization

    Above ~80% - Tighter industrial slack
    ~75-80% - Balanced utilization
    Below ~75% - Softer demand backdrop

    FISES Context

    Capacity Utilization is currently supplementary (not in the core FISES blend) but is a useful confirmation signal for industrial momentum, inflation pressure, and cyclical regime shifts.

    Release Schedule

    Capacity Utilization is released monthly by the Federal Reserve in the G.17 Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization report.

    • Frequency: Monthly
    • Unit: Percent of capacity in use
    • Source family: Federal Reserve G.17